Sunday, September 7, 2008

McCain Moves Ahead

For the first time int his election season , John MCain has taken a lead in a national poll:

(Sept. 7) - John McCain has overtaken Barack Obama in the Gallup daily tracking poll and has his highest level of support in that poll since early May.
McCain leads Obama 48 percent to 45 percent among registered voters, by Gallup’s measure. McCain has so far earned the same convention bounce as Obama, though at a more rapid pace.

...


Rasmussen’s daily tracking poll also reported today that when "leaners” are included, Obama and McCain are now tied at 48 percent. That means that, by Rasmussen’s measure, Obama’s 6-point bounce has been erased. CBS News polling had shown the same outcome midway through the GOP convention.
McCain’s resurgence in the polls comes as Nielsen Media Research reported that the Republican convention earned more television viewers than the Democratic convention. Republicans earned an average audience of 34.5 million, while Democrats earned an average viewership of 30.2 million.


Obama's bounce from the Democratic convention has now been met and exceeded by Senator McCain's increases. Remember, these are national polls and the ones we need to watch are the state polls. I'll keep you posted or check with the Votemaster.

At this point, the political conventions are over and the poll bounce that inevitably occurs for each candidate is all but over and is absorbed into overall poll results. Look for future poll results to flatten out.

Look for the professional pols to try to figure out why McCain is still hanging in and why Obama hasn't gained a sizable lead. How long will it take for some to admit that they might have misread the mood of the electorate and the desire for "change", however nebulously that might be described.

Look for the media to totally ignore the major issue of how they might have manipulated coverage of both the Republican and Democratic campaigns so that their darlings gained their respective party's nominations.

Look for everyone to ignore the real and difficult issues that face this country as the candidates reduce their messages to 60 second television commercials contaning pretty pictures, waving flags, and smiling faces.

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