Obama in Vegas

Just contemplating the political world and mixing in a little nonsense. Let's play Vegas odds-maker:

The odds of:

Obama being impeached in his first term. Let's see, I think three presidents were impeached: Andrew Johnson, Richard Nixon and Bill Clinton. (That's impeached by the House of representatives, not convicted by the Senate). So that is a startling 3 out of 44. But Nixon and Clinton were impeached in there second terms,so the odds drop to 1 in 44 for first term impeachment.

Obama being impeached in his second term.. oops. 2 out of hmm.. how many president have had second terms? I seem to count 15. Of these, two, Clinton and Nixon were impeached. How about those odds? So , let's say his odds of being impeached, if he gets a second term are 8-1.

Odds of Obama getting a second term..1 in 2 chances. figure its slightly higher than 50% unless he is an utter disaster. But when you look at W., who was an utter disaster, and the fact that the got a second term (hell, he never should have had a FIRST term!), well, maybe 60%.

Odds of Obama getting the economy going in the first year of his presidency 4-1. second year- even.

Odds of Obama dealing with inflation in his first term: 2-1. In his second term- even.

Odds that Obama will achieve his goal and bring a new kind of civil politics to Washington- zero!

Odds that Obama will get a stimulus package through congress and on his desk in February-2-1. In March-even.

Odds that Obama will get to select one Supreme Court justice- prohibitive favorite at 1-2. Two justices-even. Three justices 3-1. Four justices- 10-1.

You can play his game at home, too or join the fun here!