Saturday, September 13, 2008

Targets USA

The November election will come down to traditional battleground states: Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania; and some new battlegrounds: Colorado, New Mexico, and Nevada.

In 2004, Bush barely won Ohio, Colorado, New Mexico, and Nevada, but with the a significant change in population demographics, Obama might be able to win some of those south west states. But the Democrat will also have to spend precious time and money in holding actions in Pennsylvania and Michigan, two blue collar states that preferred Hillary Clinton and which were barely won by John Kerry in '04.

Go to 270towin.com to game how you think the election will play out. I see Obama with a good chance of winning New Mexico, Pennsylvania, and Michigan with Nevada very close and Colorado, a center for both right wing evangelical activity and increased Democratic activity, as the big battleground.

If Obama is to win, I see him needing the new keystone of Colorado and either New Mexico or Nevada. And that's why the Democrats held their convention in Denver.

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