Confidence Interval, Margin of Error and all that dumb stuff......

When you read the results of the latest Newsweek poll on Rudy Giuliani, make sure you get to the last paragraph. On second thought, I know you won't do that because you just want to skim through all the results, so let me give you the most important paragraph right here:

The NEWSWEEK Poll, conducted Feb. 28-March 1, has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points for questions based on all registered voters and plus or minus 6 percentage points for results based on registered Republicans and Republican leaners. In conducting the poll, Princeton Survey Research Associates International interviewed 1,202 adults aged 18 and older.

Read that part of the story which states people really don't know where Rudy stands on some of the important issues. The majority of Republicans polled considered themselves to be social conservatives, and their opinions are sure to change when they find out his history of support for such issues as gun control, gay marriage, and a woman's right to choose an abortion. As I said before, "Up like a cannon ball and down like a cannon ball." Right now, Rudy is the leader in the poll for giving the voters the "Warm Fuzzies".